Lille relegation at 1% is correctly priced (if anything, still slightly too high).

With the 2025-26 season nearly complete, Lille are sitting in the European places, not in a relegation fight. The “99× upside” on YES is optical: the path to relegation from here is essentially gone.

Market odds at time of writing (May 25, 2026): 1¢ YES — Kalshi implied 1% probability at publish. See the live widget above for current odds.